BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Southern Cal

Class: 1 Class Rank: 11 Overall: (29-6) Overall Strength =   60.06
Conference: Pacific 12 Record: (16-5) | District: 1-01 Record: (20-5)

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-06-2023 Neutral W    70.66  83  74    1   9 ( 26-  6) Ohio St                10.60     -1.60                      
  2 11-10-2023 Home    W    58.64  67  51    1  60 ( 29-  5) Florida Gulf Coast     -1.42     17.42                      
  3 11-13-2023 Home    W    67.13  93  42   ZZ  16 ( 18- 15) Le Moyne                7.07 *   43.93                      
  4 11-20-2023 Neutral W    54.19  64  54    1  64 ( 17- 15) Seton Hall             -5.87     15.87                      
  5 11-22-2023 Neutral W    54.65  71  70    1  26 ( 22- 13) Penn St                -5.41      6.41                      
  6 11-28-2023 Home    W    67.89  85  44    1 167 ( 17- 14) Cal Poly                7.82 *   33.18                      
  7 12-03-2023 Home    W    55.89  89  58    1 190 (  9- 22) San Diego              -4.18 *   35.18                      
  8 12-10-2023 Home    W    56.28  85  53    1 201 ( 18- 14) UC Riverside           -3.78 *   35.78                      
  9 12-18-2023 Home    W    68.74  93  44    1 248 ( 10- 21) CS Fullerton            8.68 *   40.32                      
 10 12-21-2023 Away    W    37.43  85  77    1 205 ( 15- 18) Long Beach St         -22.63 *   30.63                      
 11 12-30-2023 Away    L *  59.67  64  71    1   6 ( 27-  7) UCLA                   -0.39     -6.61                      
 12 01-05-2024 Home    W *  57.24  56  54    1  18 ( 27-  8) Oregon St              -2.82      4.82                      
 13 01-07-2024 Home    W *  50.96  68  54    1  92 ( 11- 21) Oregon                 -9.10     23.10                      
 14 01-14-2024 Home    W *  69.38  73  65    1   6 ( 27-  7) UCLA                    9.32     -1.32                      
 15 01-19-2024 Away    L *  42.01  58  78    1  13 ( 23- 11) Utah                  -18.05     -1.95                      
 16 01-21-2024 Away    L *  57.63  59  63    1  14 ( 24- 10) Colorado               -2.43     -1.57                      
 17 01-26-2024 Home    W *  57.47  70  62    1  32 ( 21- 15) Washington St          -2.59     10.59                      
 18 01-28-2024 Home    L *  43.14  59  62    1  47 ( 16- 15) Washington            -16.92     13.92                      
 19 02-02-2024 Away    W *  75.46  67  58    1   7 ( 30-  6) Stanford               15.40     -6.40                      
 20 02-04-2024 Away    W *  58.32  79  69    1  57 ( 19- 15) California             -1.74     11.74                      
 21 02-09-2024 Home    W *  53.22  81  63    1 102 ( 11- 20) Arizona St             -6.85     24.85                      
 22 02-12-2024 Home    W *  65.84  81  64    1  35 ( 18- 16) Arizona                 5.78     11.22                      
 23 02-16-2024 Away    W *  79.25  88  51    1  92 ( 11- 21) Oregon                 19.19     17.81                      
 24 02-18-2024 Away    W *  68.53  58  50    1  18 ( 27-  8) Oregon St               8.47     -0.47                      
 25 02-23-2024 Home    W *  62.34  87  81    1  14 ( 24- 10) Colorado                2.28      3.72                      
 26 02-25-2024 Home    L *  50.72  68  74    1  13 ( 23- 11) Utah                   -9.35      3.35                      
 27 02-29-2024 Away    W *  56.13  95  93 2  1  35 ( 18- 16) Arizona                -3.93      5.93                      
 28 03-02-2024 Away    W *  55.51  70  55    1 102 ( 11- 20) Arizona St             -4.55     19.55                      
 29 03-07-2024 Neutral W *  54.49  65  62    1  35 ( 18- 16) Arizona                -5.57      8.57                      
 30 03-08-2024 Neutral W *  74.03  80  70 2  1   6 ( 27-  7) UCLA                   13.97     -3.97                      
 31 03-10-2024 Neutral W *  76.82  74  61    1   7 ( 30-  6) Stanford               16.76     -3.76                      
 32 03-23-2024 Home    W    58.18  87  55    1 172 ( 22-  9) TAM C. Christi         -1.88 *   33.88                      
 33 03-25-2024 Home    W    66.07  73  55    1  38 ( 20- 13) Kansas                  6.01     11.99                      
 34 03-30-2024 Home    W    59.78  74  70    1  15 ( 26-  8) Baylor                 -0.28      4.28                      
 35 04-01-2024 Home    L    58.46  73  80    1   2 ( 33-  6) Connecticut            -1.60     -5.40                      
      Averages              60.06  74.9 62.5

Best game:   79.25 = 37 point win over Oregon
Worst game:  37.43 = 8 point win over Long Beach St
Team stdev:   9.62